I'd love to say England, but I'm going for Italy. I've watched them a few times and I really like the way Roberto Mancini has set them up to play on the front foot - they are not like a typical Italy side who shut up shop and try to nick a goal on the counter-attack. Mancini's side are clever on the ball, and they can still defend very well too. It is going to take a good side to knock them out.