We say: Italy 2-2 England (a.e.t, Italy to win on penalties).
Both teams have the defence solidity required to shut up shop. Both teams have the attacking guile required to breach the other's rearguard. There are no two ways about it - this will be a final for the ages.
The loss of Spinazzola is undoubtedly huge for Italy, and with the likes of Saka and Sterling testing the old guard's pace with their runs in behind, we would not put it past England's attackers to notch up a couple of goals here.
However, we do not think this encounter will be settled over the course of 90 or even 120 minutes. No fan from either nation wants the final to be decided by a penalty shootout, but that is the direction we expect Sunday's battle to head in, and Mancini's side will hope to rely on their recent experience from 12 yards to prevent football from coming home.